FBS Football

Week 14 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

With Clemson winning and Alabama winning, the playoffs should look just like we thought they would look. Oklahoma will join in and the Spartans of Michigan State, winner of what was virtually a play-in game in the Big Ten Championship, round out the field of four. On the other end of the bowl spectrum, Georgia State picked up a big win over Georgia Southern to become bowl eligible. Kansas State also ...

Week 13 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

The moral of the story is there are way too many bowl games. At the moment, 75 teams are bowl eligible. Three others, South Alabama, Georgia State and Kansas State are a win away. All three of those teams will likely be underdogs in their final game too. South Alabama probably has the best chance to win at home against Appalachian State. Georgia State travels to Georgia Southern and K-State hosts West ...

Week 12 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

Everybody has been talking about the winner of the American Athletic Conference representing the small conferences in the big bowls, but do not count out Toledo. Should the winner of the Houston and Navy showdown next week lose in the AAC title game to Temple (or South Florida), a one loss Toledo team will start to look real appealing. And a loss by either Houston or Navy would seem even worse if it ...

Week 11 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

Last week we talked about how Oklahoma State got to finish the season at home against Baylor and Oklahoma. Like the Cowboys, we overlooked their trip to Iowa State. The Cyclones were ready though. It took a massive fourth quarter comeback for Oklahoma State to remain undefeated. Was that just a letdown game with the team looking ahead or are the Cowboys vulnerable? We will find out next week when Baylor ...

Week 10 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

Not surprisingly, things are starting to get shaken up at the top. Losses by TCU, Michigan State and LSU have made things very interesting. Certainly any one-loss Big Ten or SEC champion can still make the field of four. For the Spartans, if they can beat Ohio State, they should finish conference play at 7-1 and own the tie-breaker over the Buckeyes. Then they’d have to beat, presumably, Iowa in the Big ...

Week 9 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

With so many top teams taking Halloween off, there was not much movement in the major bowls this week. In fact, Florida International was the only team who left any of the projected bowls. Their loss to rival FAU puts the Golden Panthers in a tough spot. They are 4-5 and still have Marshall and Western Kentucky on the schedule. They have to win one of those games, and beat Charlotte, to be bowl eligible. ...

Week 8 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

Utah’s loss to USC puts them out of the playoff picture for now. A one-loss Pac-12 team should be in the playoffs, but it will be tough for Utah or Stanford to run the gauntlet in the Pac-12. Although the possibility of those two both having one loss heading into the Pac-12 title game would basically make the Pac-12 title game a play-in game for the playoffs. But no Pac-12 team with one loss would ...

College Football Playoff Scenarios (Week 8)

We have to begin by talking about that Michigan State win. It was the most inexplicable victory I can ever remember witnessing. It was more bizarre than Auburn’s Kick Six win over Alabama because even though that was off a missed field goal, seeing a return touchdown decide a game isn’t all that uncommon. I can’t ever remember seeing a fumble-return touchdown as time expired. The reason Herm Edwards’ ...

Michigan State made a dramatic statement with a win an amazing last second win over rival Michigan. Despite the close calls by Michigan State and the top ranking of Ohio State, we are keeping the Spartans in the playoffs over the Buckeyes. Still that trip to Ohio State on November 21st looms large. The Buckeyes are looking better though and they will certainly be favored to beat the Spartans at home. But for now MSU has the momentum and even a one-loss Michigan State or Ohio State team will be in the playoff mix. The rest of our projected ...

Week 6 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown

The Big 12 continues to be one of the most interesting conferences to watch this season. Texas, coming off of an awful loss to TCU, beat Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry by a score of 24-17. That knocked Oklahoma from the ranks of the unbeaten. TCU and Baylor are still the teams to beat in the conference, but TCU barely escaped Manhattan with a win. It is not necessarily because TCU and Baylor are ...