San Diego (9-2) at Northern Arizona (7-4), Saturday 8:00
San Diego cruised to another Pioneer League championship and automatic berth. Last year they were sent to San Luis Obispo to play a rematch with Cal Poly and won the first game in the Pioneer’s playoff history. This year figures to be a little tougher as the Toreros leave sea level to play in the mountains. As is normal, it’s tough to compare San Diego’s strength because of their inherently weaker conference schedule. They win many of their games putting up north of 45 points and usually don’t give up a lot either because those same teams have weaker offenses. They did play at UC Davis this year and lost 35-7, which should be concerning since their opponent here beat the same team 45-31.
Northern Arizona is said to have near one of the best statistically measured home field advantages in FCS. Now how that’s measured, we’ll leave for the computer nerds. Though one could look easily and see that three of the Lumberjacks four losses were away from Flagstaff. Not only that, but the offensive numbers put up at home keep the scoreboard operator awake and at attention at all times. QB Case Cookus is a career giant behind center for the Lumberjacks and you figure he’s looking for at least a couple more big days. He should have some fun this week.
Comparatively evaluating the common opponent, UC Davis, Northern Arizona looks to be a solid and large favorite. Add the home field advantage and it’s hard to see a repeat upset like San Diego pulled last year.
Projected Score: Northern Arizona 52, San Diego 14
