Week 13 Football Bowl Projection Breakdown
The moral of the story is there are way too many bowl games. At the moment, 75 teams are bowl eligible. Three others, South Alabama, Georgia State and Kansas State are a win away. All three of those teams will likely be underdogs in their final game too. South Alabama probably has the best chance to win at home against Appalachian State. Georgia State travels to Georgia Southern and K-State hosts West Virginia. What that leaves is probably at least four 5-7 teams heading to a bowl. Based on the latest available APR rankings, the top four 5-7 teams that we now have joining South Alabama in the bowls are Nebraska, Kansas State (assuming they lose anyway), Minnesota and San Jose State. Illinois and Rice are next in line and Missouri would be in that mix as well, but they already said they would not accept a bowl bid.
See The Projected Bowl Matchups
American: Cincinnati, Connecticut, Houston, Memphis, Navy, South Florida, Temple, Tulsa
ACC: Clemson, Duke, Florida State, Louisville, Miami, North Carolina, North Carolina State, Pittsburgh, Virginia Tech
Big 12: Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech, West Virginia
Big Ten: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio State, Penn State, Northwestern, Wisconsin
C-USA: Louisiana Tech, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, Southern Miss, Western Kentucky
Independent: BYU, Notre Dame
MAC: Akron, Bowling Green, Central Michigan, Northern Illinois, Ohio, Toledo, Western Michigan
MWC: Air Force, Boise State, Colorado State, Nevada, New Mexico, San Diego State, San Jose State, Utah State
Pac-12: Arizona, Arizona State, California, Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, USC, Utah, Washington State
SEC: Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Georgia, LSU, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Texas A&M
Sun Belt: Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Georgia Southern, South Alabama
See The Projected Bowl Matchups
